Find Probability of Double Throwing 6-Sided Die 5 Times

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In summary, the die threw five times resulted in fifteen different outcomes, including a double and a treble.
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Josefk
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For throwing a 6-sided die 5 times, i’m trying to summate the following (only) possible outcomes to make 1.
a) all throws are different
b) two throws are the same (a double)
c) three throws are the same (a treble)
d) four throws are the same (a quartet)
e) all five throws are the same (quintet).

So far i have worked out that:

a) (1/6)^5 . 6!/5!1! = 1/1296
b) 6 . (1/6)^2 . (5/6)^3 . 5!/3!2! = 1250/1296
c) 6 . (1/6)^3 . (5/6)^2 . 5!/2!3! = 250/1296
d) 6. (1/6)^4 . (5/6)^1 . 5!/4!1! = 25/1296
e) 6 . (1/6)^5 = 1/1296

I summated the above, expecting them to come to 1, but they come to 1527/1296

I then realized that i was double counting some of the outcomes because when a treble is thrown there is a chance a double is ALSO thrown and when a double is thrown there is a chance that a treble is thrown, so to deduct these i did

i) chance of throwing a double given that a treble is thrown AND not throwing a quintet=
5 . (1/6)^2 = 5/36 = 180/1296
ii) chance if throwing a treble given that a double is thrown AND not throwing a quintet=
5 . (1/6)^3 = 5/216 = 30/1296

1527/1296 - 180/1296 - 30/1296 = 1317/1296

Can anyone tell me why this still doesn't come to 1?
 
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  • #2
Josefk said:
For throwing a 6-sided die 5 times, i’m trying to summate the following (only) possible outcomes to make 1.
a) all throws are different
b) two throws are the same (a double)
c) three throws are the same (a treble)
d) four throws are the same (a quartet)
e) all five throws are the same (quintet).

So far i have worked out that:

a) (1/6)^5 . 6!/5!1! = 1/1296
b) 6 . (1/6)^2 . (5/6)^3 . 5!/3!2! = 1250/1296
c) 6 . (1/6)^3 . (5/6)^2 . 5!/2!3! = 250/1296
d) 6. (1/6)^4 . (5/6)^1 . 5!/4!1! = 25/1296
e) 6 . (1/6)^5 = 1/1296

I summated the above, expecting them to come to 1, but they come to 1527/1296

I then realized that i was double counting some of the outcomes because when a treble is thrown there is a chance a double is ALSO thrown and when a double is thrown there is a chance that a treble is thrown, so to deduct these i did

i) chance of throwing a double given that a treble is thrown AND not throwing a quintet=
5 . (1/6)^2 = 5/36 = 180/1296
ii) chance if throwing a treble given that a double is thrown AND not throwing a quintet=
5 . (1/6)^3 = 5/216 = 30/1296

1527/1296 - 180/1296 - 30/1296 = 1317/1296

Can anyone tell me why this still doesn't come to 1?
I would use these possible outcomes:

a) all throws are different
b) two throws are the same (a double) and all the others are different
c) three throws are the same (a treble) and both the others are different
d) four throws are the same (a quartet) and the other one is different
e) all five throws are the same (quintet)
f) a double and a treble
g) two doubles and a single.

The probabilities are then

a) 120/1296
b) 600/1296
c) 200/1296
d) 25/1296
e) 1/1296
f) 50/1296
g) 300/1296.

Those add up to 1, as required.
 

Related to Find Probability of Double Throwing 6-Sided Die 5 Times

What is the probability of getting a specific number on a 6-sided die?

The probability of getting a specific number on a 6-sided die is 1/6, or about 16.67%.

What is the probability of getting the same number twice in a row when throwing a 6-sided die?

The probability of getting the same number twice in a row when throwing a 6-sided die is 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36, or about 2.78%.

What is the probability of getting a specific combination of numbers when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times?

The probability of getting a specific combination of numbers when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times is (1/6)^5, or about 0.000128%. This is because each throw is independent and the probability of getting a specific number on a 6-sided die is 1/6.

What is the probability of getting at least one 6 when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times?

The probability of getting at least one 6 when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times is 1 - (5/6)^5, or about 66.51%. This is because the probability of not getting a 6 on each throw is 5/6, and we subtract this from 1 to get the probability of getting at least one 6.

What is the probability of getting all different numbers when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times?

The probability of getting all different numbers when throwing a 6-sided die 5 times is (6/6) x (5/6) x (4/6) x (3/6) x (2/6), or about 15.28%. This is because on the first throw, we have 6 possible outcomes, but on the subsequent throws, we have one less possible outcome as we cannot repeat the number from the previous throw.

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