What is the probability that the Universe is absolutely flat?

In summary, the conversation discusses constraints on the Hubble constant and matter density in the base CDM model based on Planck data and BAO measurements. It also mentions the reanalysis of Cepheid data using a revised distance to NGC 4258 and the use of this as a "conservative" H0 prior. Adding external data can further sharpen the constraint on the matter density, but it is currently unclear if there is a scientifically reliable source that can support a statement on the probability of the universe being perfectly flat. A theoretical approach is proposed involving measuring the position of a distant object in the sky, but it is limited
  • #71
timmdeeg said:
k=0 requires Ω=1
timmdeeg said:
If Ω in the expression in brackets (post #60) were Ωm then how could this expression be identical zero in case of exact flatness?

Hi timmdeeg:

It is Ωk = k = 0 then
Ωm = 1, and the universe is flat.​
When Ωm > 1,
k=+1 and Ωk < 0.​
The universe is then finite and hyperspherical.​
When Ωm < 1,
k=-1 and Ωk > 0.​
The universe is then infinite and hyperbolic.​

Regards,
Buzz
 
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  • #72
timmdeeg said:
No, ##\Omega## in ##(\Omega^{-1}-1)\rho{a}^2=-\frac{3c^2}{8\pi{G}}k## (post #13) is the ratio of the actual density to the critical density.

Buzz Bloom said:
The above quote is the definition of ΩM.
Please see
in the section Density parameter.

timmdeeg said:
I'm not sure how you come to this conclusion. This article states "The density parameter (useful for comparing different cosmological models) is then defined as:" ... and describes thereafter ##\Omega## as the ratio of the actual density to the critical density.

I agree with @timmdeeg

In this section, density is given by
$$\rho = \rho_r + \rho_m + \rho_\Lambda$$

and

$$\begin{align} \Omega &= \frac{\rho}{\rho_c} \nonumber \\
&= \frac{\rho_r + \rho_m + \rho_\Lambda}{\rho_c} \nonumber \\
&= \frac{\rho_r}{\rho_c} + \frac{\rho_m}{\rho_c} + \frac{\rho_\Lambda}{\rho_c} \nonumber \\
\Omega &= \Omega_r + \Omega_m + \Omega_\Lambda . \nonumber
\end{align}$$
 
  • #73
metastable said:
In a 3 space can I specify any irrational position?
If you can specify the irrational number you mean, then sure. ##(x,y,z)=(\pi,e,\sqrt{2})##, for example.
 
  • #74
Can I write a complete list of the x,y,z positions an electron had as it traveled a meter, even in principle?
 
  • #75
George Jones said:
In this section, density is given by
ρ=ρrmΛ
and
Ω=ρrmΛc
rcmcΛc
Ω=ΩrmΛ.​
Hi George:

I edited the format of quote so that I could read it more clearly.

I confess I was not previously familiar with this usage of Ω, but I now see at the bottom of the Wiki section:
Ω0,k - 1-Ω0.​
So I yield, and I am now convinced I was previously mistaken. Thank you for pointing out my error.

Regards,
Buzz
 
  • #76
Hi @metastable:

I am puzzled by the figure with a spiral on a sphere in your post #35. Please explain in words what this is intended to represent.

Regards,
Buzz
 
  • #77
Buzz Bloom said:
Hi @metastable:

I am puzzled by the figure with a spiral on a sphere in your post #35. Please explain in words what this is intended to represent.

Regards,
Buzz

In rough terms: suppose you take a standard desk globe of the earth, and you attach a motorized gantry to the arch which supports it at the poles, and you spin the globe at a constant velocity, and you move the gantry from the north pole to the south pole at constant angular speed, with a pen attached to it, the pen will trace out this spiral on the globe depending on the relative speeds of the gantry and the globe.
sphere-spiral-n-orbits-3-gif.gif
 
  • #78
metastable said:
suppose you take a standard desk globe of the earth, and you attach a motorized gantry to the arch which supports it at the poles, and you spin the globe at a constant velocity, and you move the gantry from the north pole to the south pole at constant angular speed, with a pen attached to it, the pen will trace out this spiral on the globe depending on the relative speeds of the gantry and the globe.

What does this have to do with the thread topic?
 
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  • #79
PeterDonis said:
What does this have to do with the thread topic?
I was asking if 3 spaces are necessary or only convenient, because I thought, via the illustration, I could specify an infinite subset points in space, not all along the same plane, with only 2 dimensions: 1) distance along spiral from pole and distance along straight line from point A through 1)
 
  • #80
metastable said:
I thought, via the illustration, I could specify an infinite subset points in space, not all along the same plane, with only 2 dimensions

Since the motion in your scenario is restricted to the surface of a 2-sphere, obviously it is only describing points in a space with 2 dimensions, since a 2-sphere is a 2-dimensional manifold. The fact that you are describing the 2-sphere using its embedding in 3-dimensional space does not change that.
 
  • #81
Is the spiral not 1 dimensional since no area no volume?
 
  • #82
metastable said:
Can I write a complete list of the x,y,z positions an electron had as it traveled a meter, even in principle?
##\vec r(t)=\int_0^t\vec v(t')dt'##

And a critical problem with your approach is that you cannot use calculus to describe motion across the grain of your spiral because you don't have a smooth map from space to your coordinate system. So you've gone a long way towards disabling the only tool you can use to describe things moving in rigorous mathematical terms. And you haven't achieved your goal of specifying points in 3-space using two numbers because it's impossible to do so.
 
  • #83
Ibix said:
And a critical problem with your approach is that you cannot use calculus to describe motion across the grain of your spiral because you don't have a smooth map from space to your coordinate system.
After specifying a position, I was toying with the idea in my head of describing its heading with a second spiral at the specified point and its instantaneous motion as a curve which would be represented by the circumference of a circle with a specified radius and orientation, but I am far from claiming any of this represents reality, but I mention it because you mentioned not being able to use calculus with the approach and I wondered if specifying instantaneous motions as such curves could work with calculus?
 
  • #84
metastable said:
In rough terms: suppose you take a standard desk globe of the earth, and you attach a motorized gantry to the arch which supports it at the poles, and you spin the globe at a constant velocity, and you move the gantry from the north pole to the south pole at constant angular speed, with a pen attached to it, the pen will trace out this spiral on the globe depending on the relative speeds of the gantry and the globe.
Hi metastable:

I am wondering why you associate this concept with the topic of this thread?

Regards,
Buzz
 
  • #85
metastable said:
After specifying a position, I was toying with the idea in my head of describing its heading with a second spiral at the specified point and its instantaneous motion as a curve which would be represented by the circumference of a circle with a specified radius and orientation, but I am far from claiming any of this represents reality, but I mention it because you mentioned not being able to use calculus with the approach and I wondered if specifying instantaneous motions as such curves could work with calculus?
Then you have three numbers to specify positions in 3d space. Inevitably. I suspect there's more than one way to identify a location using this system, so this has nasty mathematical properties. But knock yourself out.
 
  • #86
Buzz Bloom said:
Hi metastable:

I am wondering why you associate this concept with the topic of this thread?

Regards,
Buzz
That's a good question. I'll stop contributing to this hijack now.
 
  • #87
Buzz Bloom said:
Hi metastable:

I am wondering why you associate this concept with the topic of this thread?

Regards,
Buzz
metastable said:
asking if 3 spaces are necessary or only convenient
^I was trying to ascertain whether "3 spaces" are a "requirement" & "necessary" to describe the universe or merely "mathematically convenient."
 
  • #88
metastable said:
^I was trying to ascertain whether "3 spaces" are a "requirement" & "necessary" to describe the universe or merely "mathematically convenient."

These "3 spaces" can be shown mathematically to be the only cosmological spaces that are both spatially isotropic and spatially homogeneous, but the mathematics (of Killing vectors) is appropriate for a thread that has an "A" label.

More spaces result if one/both of these conditions is/are relaxed.
 
  • #89
metastable said:
I was trying to ascertain whether "3 spaces" are a "requirement" & "necessary" to describe the universe or merely "mathematically convenient."

And I already answered that way back in post #36. Please do not discuss this question, or your questions about whether it takes 3 numbers to specify a point in 3-space (it does), any further in this thread.
 
  • #90
George Jones said:
And thus to be consistent with known data, models of inflation must work in universes that have negative spatial curvature. The Lyth and Liddle reference that I gave above explicitly notes that inflation smooths inhomogeneities in both ##\Omega > 1## and ##\Omega < 1## universes.
So regardless the global curvature locally the universe can have small areas like our observable universe which are positively or negatively curved depending on local inhomogeneities?

If this is correct so far would some kind of averaging over local curvatures in principle yield the global curvature? It would also mean that even exact knowledge about local curvature provides no clue to global curvature.
 
  • #91
timmdeeg said:
So regardless the global curvature locally the universe can have small areas like our observable universe which are positively or negatively curved depending on local inhomogeneities?
Hi timmdeeg:

The assumption that the quote question is answered "yes" implies the corresponding universe is not (for large scales) isotropic and homogeneous. The means it is not compatible with a GR universe.

Regards,
Buzz
 
  • #92
Buzz Bloom said:
The assumption that the quote question is answered "yes" implies the corresponding universe is not (for large scales) isotropic and homogeneous.

Not quite. It means that if the universe on large enough scales is isotropic and homogeneous, "large enough" must mean "larger than our observable universe". If the universe were spatially infinite, or spatially finite but much, much, much larger than our observable universe, this would not be a problem from a modeling standpoint; but it would mean that we would not be able to test the assumption of global isotropy and homogeneity directly by observations, since those are by definition restricted to our observable universe.

Buzz Bloom said:
The means it is not compatible with a GR universe.

GR does not require that the universe is homogeneous and isotropic on any scale. The assumptions of global homogeneity and isotropy are made because they are simple (i.e., we know exact solutions for this case) and, at least so far, consistent with the data. But if for some reason global homogeneity and isotropy were ruled out, that would not in any way mean GR could no longer model the universe. It would just be a lot harder since we would not be able to use any exact solutions and would have to do the modeling numerically.
 
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  • #93
Are there any conceivable objects that could be large enough outside the observable universe to have any measurable effects within our observable universe?
 
  • #94
Buzz Bloom said:
Do you know of any particular specified parameters that mathematically defines a theoretical 3-torus topologically shaped universe model which is finite, flat, isotropic, and homogeneous?
I think Friedman was referring to this when, in his 1924 paper On the Possibility of a World with Constant Negative Curvature of Space, he mentioned:

"In the present Notice it will be shown that it actually is possible to derive from the Einstein world equations a world with constant negative curvature of space.
[...]
At the end of this Notice we will touch upon the question of whether on the grounds of the curvature of space one is allowed at all to judge on its finiteness or infinitude.
[...]
We have convinced ourselves that the Einstein world equations possesses solutions that correspond to a world with constant negative curvature of space. This fact points out that the world equations taken alone are not suficient to decide the question of the finiteness of our world. Knowledge of the curvature of space gives us still no immediate hint on its finiteness or infinitude. To arrive at a definite conclusion on the finiteness of space, one needs some supplementary agreements."
 
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  • #95
Jaime Rudas said:
To arrive at a definite conclusion on the finiteness of space, one needs some supplementary agreements.
Hi Jaime:

Thank you for the Friedmann quotes.

I interpret this as saying that something that scientists currently do not have (after almost 100 years) is a reason to believe a flat finite universe is possible, except for the fact that such a model has not (yet) been proved to be impossible.

Regards
Buzz
 
  • #96
Buzz Bloom said:
I interpret this as saying that something that scientists currently do not have (after almost 100 years) is a reason to believe a flat finite universe is possible, except for the fact that such a model has not (yet) been proved to be impossible.
Hi Buzz:

I interpret this as that general relativity plus the cosmological principle aren't a suitable instrument to determine if the universe is finite or infinite. That is, the fact that the universe is flat or negatively curved does not imply that is infinite, as it is frequently seen in popular science texts.

On the other hand, it seems logical to consider possible everything that we can't prove impossible.

Regards.
 
  • #97
Jaime Rudas said:
On the other hand, it seems logical to consider possible everything that we can't prove impossible.
Hi Jaime:

I do not disagree with the quote. However, I do not think it is practical to give serious consideration to a possibility for which there is no evidence that the possibility is true except that there is no proof that it cannot be true.

In another thread there was a point that many scientists want a 4 sigma (99.99% confidence level) before taking a conclusion seriously. I find this to be a reasonable attitude. To take seriously a possibility just because it has not been proved impossible is like deciding to take a possibility seriously if it has 0.01% probability of being true.

Regards,
Buzz
 
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