Modelling Drug Dosages to Reach Target Level

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In summary, the conversation discusses the equation for the amount of a drug in the body and how it can be modified to maintain a certain level over an extended period of time. The initial dosage and a factor influencing the clearance of the drug are taken into consideration. The use of a spreadsheet is suggested as a practical method for finding a solution.
  • #1
Canuck156
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Although I don't want to be given a straight answer to this question, I would really appreciated some help to point me in the right direction.


The amount of a drug in the body follows the equation y=De^(-kt) , where D is the initial dosage, k=(ln2)/6.7 , and t is the time in days since the dose was taken.

A person suffering from a disease needs to have approximately 130 micrograms of the drug in their bloodstream. Their doctor prescribed the following pattern to follow for the medication:

Monday – 200 micrograms
Tuesday – 100 micrograms
Wednesday – 200 micrograms
Thursday – 100 micrograms
Friday – 200 micrograms
Saturday – 100 micrograms
Sunday – 100 micrograms

If these doses are taken, and the decay equation y=De^(-kt) is taken as the only factor influencing the amount of the drug in the system, the amount of drug will rise far past the required 130 micrograms.

However, it is known that the specified doses will result in the required level of the drug in the body. Therefore, it follows that there must be some other factor influencing the clearance of the drug.

The task is to modify the model (y=De^(-kt)) to include some other factor (you don’t have to state what the factor is) that will cause the level of the drug in the body to remain at approximately the 130 microgram level over an extended period of time. This can be done by any means, such as adding to, subtracting from, or multiplying by some factor, the given model.

Note: So far I have not even been able to find an equation to model the long term amount of drug in the body using the initial dosages, I have had to do this through a spreadsheet. Is it possible to find a simple equation to model this situation?

To anyone who can help, thanks a lot.
 
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  • #2
No, you won't be able to find what is normally thought of as a "simple" equation because the problem is inherently "piecewise". Taking Monday, at the time of taking the medicine, as 0, Tuesday, same time, as 1, etc. you have, for the first day
y= De-kt with y(0)= D= 200 micrograms so y(t)= 200e-kt for 0<= t<= 1.
At t=1, the residual medication is 200e-k and now you add 100 micrograms: D= (100+ 200e-k) so y(t)= (100+ 200e-k)e-kt for 1<= t<= 2.

That is, the formula is:
y = 200e-kt for 0<= t<= 1
(100+ 200e-kt for 1<= t<= 2
etc.

If you really WANT a formula in a single equation you could use Heaviside's step function H(x) which is defined to be 0 for x< 0, 1 for x<= 0 but that is just "hiding" the piecewise property.

By the way since k= -ln(2)/6.7, e-kt is the same as (e-ln(2))t/6.7= (1/2)t/6.7 which says that the medicine has a half-life of 6.7 days in the body.
As far as the "other factor" is concerned, it would be perfectly valid to add a "cutoff" to the formula. Using y= De-kt , y will be 130 when -kt= ln(130/D) or
t= -ln(130/D)/k. Since k= -ln(2)/6.7, that is the same as k= (ln(130/D)/ln 2)(6.7)=
6.7 ln2[/sup](130/D). The only problem is determining when that will be less than 1 (so that you don't go over into the next day).
Using a spread sheet to do piecewise calculations is completely reasonable.
 
  • #3
Thanks, I've ended up using a spreadsheet, and it worked out really well.
 

Related to Modelling Drug Dosages to Reach Target Level

1. What is drug dosage modelling?

Drug dosage modelling is the process of using mathematical and statistical techniques to predict the amount of drug that needs to be administered to achieve a desired level in the body. It takes into account factors such as a person's weight, age, metabolism, and the characteristics of the drug itself to determine the optimal dosage.

2. Why is drug dosage modelling important?

Drug dosage modelling is crucial in ensuring safe and effective use of medication. It helps healthcare professionals determine the appropriate dosage for each individual patient, taking into consideration their unique characteristics and needs. This can help prevent under or over-dosing, which can lead to adverse effects or ineffective treatment.

3. How is drug dosage modelling performed?

Drug dosage modelling is typically performed using computer software that utilizes mathematical models and algorithms. The software takes into account various factors such as patient demographics, drug properties, and desired drug levels, and calculates the recommended dosage. This can then be adjusted based on clinical judgement and patient response.

4. What are the benefits of using drug dosage modelling?

There are several benefits to using drug dosage modelling. It can help improve medication safety and efficacy, as well as reduce the risk of adverse effects and drug interactions. It also allows for personalized dosing for each individual, rather than relying on generalized dosing guidelines.

5. Are there any limitations to drug dosage modelling?

Like any mathematical model, drug dosage modelling has its limitations. It relies on accurate input data and assumptions, which may not always reflect real-life situations. It also does not account for potential variations in drug metabolism and drug responses between individuals. Therefore, it should be used as a tool to guide clinical decision-making, but not as the sole factor in determining drug dosages.

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