Advanced devices made with no knowledge

In summary, in this conversation, the participants discuss a scenario where a civilization in the mid-18th century discovers how to process uranium and create a crude nuclear weapon through accidents and experimentation. They also consider the limitations and risks of this process, such as the need for a strong motivation to continue production and the challenges of achieving criticality and creating a successful explosion.
  • #1
Martin0001
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Let's imagine following:
For one reason or the other life on Earth evolved much faster and 2 or 3 billions years ago we got equivalent of mid 18 century civilization.
At this time U-235 content of total U in ore would be greater than 20%.
Say that engineers of this world were processing that ore and some clever guy have worked out how to make metal or pure oxide out of it.
Let's assume that product have proven useful for something so large scale production have started.
Soon after weird accidents in factories have begun resulting in some "evil flashes of light" after which all factory workers were dying by horrible death within days or weeks.
Priests and monks of the time have started to call supernatural powers to help to protect workers and some clever witch have noticed that souls of processed ore hate souls of water and if forced together they start some evil action and peoples are dying.
After that work in manufactures have become safer.
Soon after someone else have noticed that when processed ore in large quantity is taken together the evil flash happens agaim, there is a mild explosion, stuff smelts around.
Poor guy said what he has seen and died soon after.
Clever wizard who have redrecords of all this mishaps got good idea and decided to run experiment.
He noticed that bringing enough of material together is causing weird and awful effects so he decided to accumulate s lot in dungeon under castle tower (once evil flash was noticed and all workers around died he ordered to stop piling it up.
Then he ordered to suspend as much as possible on the top of tower (again evil flashes and death of workers indicated the limit).
Then he ordered to drop suspended platform into dungeon.
Massive explosion resulted and castle together with surroundings have ceased to exist.
Hey presto, a very crude nuclear weapon was invented.
After some tweaking it have been proven to work once assembled under enemy castle by several horse driven carriages with contents dropped down purpose dug well.
No understanding of science was needed.
What do you think about such scenario?
 
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  • #2
A mid 18th century civilization didn't have castles as useful objects, and chemistry and the scientific method were advanced enough to investigate this process in a systematic way.

I don't think you would get flashes of light. As production goes up, you should reach dangerous radiation levels long before you approach criticality, and radiation sickness would indicate that the processed material is dangerous. While the mechanism would be unknown, the result is sufficiently close to chemical toxic effects to make cause and effect clear. You need a strong motivation for this society to keep production up.
Larger amounts would heat up significantly. That could be investigated (and chemical detection of fission products would give a hint what is happening), and the nonlinear relation between the amount of uranium and heat production would be very interesting. You can extrapolate that, and get the idea of a bomb. It is not sufficient to let some clump of uranium fall onto another one, you need explosives to combine them as fast as possible, otherwise the yield is negligible (just enough to separate the two parts again). Uranium for nuclear weapons gets enriched to ~90%. I'm not sure if a bomb with just 20% would work at all, but it would certainly be much weaker, and harder to get to criticality. Without understanding the process, you also don't have a neutron source, so you have to rely on a random neutron - the bombs, even if they would work at all, would have a completely random yield between nearly nothing and a full explosion.
 
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  • #3
mfb said:
A mid 18th century civilization didn't have castles as useful objects, and chemistry and the scientific method were advanced enough to investigate this process in a systematic way.

I don't think you would get flashes of light. As production goes up, you should reach dangerous radiation levels long before you approach criticality, and radiation sickness would indicate that the processed material is dangerous. While the mechanism would be unknown, the result is sufficiently close to chemical toxic effects to make cause and effect clear. You need a strong motivation for this society to keep production up.
Larger amounts would heat up significantly. That could be investigated (and chemical detection of fission products would give a hint what is happening), and the nonlinear relation between the amount of uranium and heat production would be very interesting. You can extrapolate that, and get the idea of a bomb. It is not sufficient to let some clump of uranium fall onto another one, you need explosives to combine them as fast as possible, otherwise the yield is negligible (just enough to separate the two parts again). Uranium for nuclear weapons gets enriched to ~90%. I'm not sure if a bomb with just 20% would work at all, but it would certainly be much weaker, and harder to get to criticality. Without understanding the process, you also don't have a neutron source, so you have to rely on a random neutron - the bombs, even if they would work at all, would have a completely random yield between nearly nothing and a full explosion.
OK, but still few kt of explosive power would be delivered by dropping a ton of 20%U235 into a skip with more.
Neutrons would be there in every kg of natural uranium is about 20 of them.
Drop from a tower to dungeon would deliver considerable velocity and some crude acceleration based on gun powder could be provided after few experiments.
Additionally huge mass dropped would work as a tamper.
20% U235 would be enough at huge expense of quantity needed.
 
  • #4
Martin0001 said:
OK, but still few kt of explosive power would be delivered by dropping a ton of 20%U235 into a skip with more.
It would not.

The problem with neutrons is the timing. Criticality increases over time, has a peak and then decreases again, you want the starting neutron at exactly the right time. A millisecond too early or too late and the bomb doesn't explode properly. Uranium-238 emits more neutrons than U-235, so you need an even faster combination. Way beyond the speed of sound, probably several kilometers per second with just 20% U-235, so forget every gravity-based mechanism. That needs modern high-performance explosives or even something like a light-gas gun.
 
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  • #5
mfb said:
It would not.

The problem with neutrons is the timing. Criticality increases over time, has a peak and then decreases again, you want the starting neutron at exactly the right time. A millisecond too early or too late and the bomb doesn't explode properly. Uranium-238 emits more neutrons than U-235, so you need an even faster combination. Way beyond the speed of sound, probably several kilometers per second with just 20% U-235, so forget every gravity-based mechanism. That needs modern high-performance explosives or even something like a light-gas gun.
I can agree in general regarding timing issues with one exception:
In gun type designs, as opposed to implosion driven ones, too early is certainly bad, but too late is not.
Once all in clump, there is condition known as *full insertion* and whenever neutron comes, it would start full power show.
You might be overlooking a relatively huge tamper effect associated with dropping large mass, in range of ton or more.
That could assist inertial confinement and buy extra 50 nanoseconds or so for reaction to proceed.
OK, you would get maybe 0.5% conversion.
OK, 0.5% out of 5 tons of 20% U235 together with some fast fission of U238 is still something...
I do not insist, that such bomb would work.
Just a thought experiment and look on some pros and cons.
NB.
Little boy had insertion speed in range of 200 - 500m/s.
Free drop from 40m would deliver something like 25m/s.
Now, little boy consumed about 10-20% of fissile material, here we are aiming at fraction of %...
 
  • #6
Martin0001 said:
Once all in clump, there is condition known as *full insertion* and whenever neutron comes, it would start full power show.
It won't stay in one clump, especially with a design similar to Little Boy. Anyway, without enrichment "too early" is the more pressing issue.
Martin0001 said:
You might be overlooking a relatively huge tamper effect associated with dropping large mass, in range of ton or more.
You are overestimating it, and the nonexistence of nuclear weapons without explosives shows that.
Martin0001 said:
OK, you would get maybe 0.5% conversion.
Where does that number come from?
Martin0001 said:
Little boy had insertion speed in range of 200 - 500m/s.
And 90% enrichment in the core. You have a factor of ~5 more neutron production there, a naive scaling would need 1 to 2.5 km/s to get the same failure probability of ~15%.
Martin0001 said:
Free drop from 40m would deliver something like 25m/s.
And your nuclear reaction will happen right at the point of first criticality, which means the components fly apart long before significant amounts of uranium fissioned.
Don't get me wrong, it is still a bomb, but where is the point if the same amount of conventional explosives gives a better result?
 
  • #7
mfb said:
It won't stay in one clump, especially with a design similar to Little Boy.
What about "drop on bottom of a pit" design?

Anyway, without enrichment "too early" is the more pressing issue
Agreed.

You are overestimating it, and the nonexistence of nuclear weapons without explosives shows that
No, it doesn't show that.
All what it show is that 40m long designs would be cumbersome to handle.
For certain, enola gay would fail to lift one.
Where does that number come from?
Speculation.
OK, let's settle wilth only 0.05% conversion out of 5 tones of 20% U235.
Still 0.5 kg would go off with low kt range...

And 90% enrichment in the core. You have a factor of ~5 more neutron production there, a naive scaling would need 1 to 2.5 km/s to get the same failure probability of ~15%.And your nuclear reaction will happen right at the point of first criticality,
What means "failure"?
For little boy 5% conversion would be disappointing, 1% a great failure and 0.1% a catastrophic failure.
Here we could live with even 0.05% conversion and still get low kt range, which peoples from mid 18 century would consider a remarkable success upon assessment of effects.
I agree that fission would work promptly upon reaching criticality.

Don't get me wrong, it is still a bomb, but where is the point if the same amount of conventional explosives gives a better result?
Purpose of my thought experiment is to assess, if peoples with no relevant knowledge but keen observers and who found themselves in favorable circumstances could produce low kt range nuke with no understanding at all what they are really doing.

Btw, have red long time ago somewhere ( www.nuclearweaponarchive.org ?) that for 99% U235 gravitational drop from 10 meters would give approx. 50% chance of full insertion.

Of course I do not insist that it is true as accurate properties of fissile materials are classified, but it seems plausible.
 
  • #8
Martin0001 said:
What about "drop on bottom of a pit" design?
What is the structural integrity of gas?
Martin0001 said:
Speculation.
OK, let's settle wilth only 0.05% conversion out of 5 tones of 20% U235.
Speculation again. Get a reference, or get a reliable simulation, but stop making up random numbers.
Martin0001 said:
Btw, have red long time ago somewhere ( www.nuclearweaponarchive.org ?) that for 99% U235 gravitational drop from 10 meters would give approx. 50% chance of full insertion.
99% enrichment is a completely different material.
 
  • #9
Nuclear reactors occurred naturally far in the past. They have been found. Probably it caused the moderating water to boil. I don't know if it was dangerous. I guess it would be if you drank the water.

I think it's a clever idea. You definitely could get a nuclear reaction easily. Maybe you could get a Little Boy type explosion if very unlucky. Good enough for SF!
 
  • #10
No way.

Dropping two masses of uranium together would not cause fission, even if the uranium was enriched.

If it was really that easy we would have a real terror thereat on our hands on Earth.

The best you might get is a dirty bomb, but the real value in a dirty bomb is the fear factor. Your civilization is much too green to understand what atomic energy is, even in a rudimentary way. Note, it is ignorance that tends to create fear, but a dirty bomb would be perceived as no more a threat as any other explosive. You might as well deliver a ship full of plague infested rats. The death toll would be far greater.

You could write the story, but the less information you volunteer as far as an explanation of what this great explosion is made of, the better off your story will be. I would wouldn't even hint at it being nuclear because you will turn off some of your readers.
 
  • #11
Hornbein is correct, fission can actually occur in nature, all by itself. There's a place in Africa called Oklo where natural, self-sustaining nuclear fission has occurred in the past. It was over a billion years ago, so unfortunately there were no humans present to take advantage of it, but the output was fairly respectable - around 100kW.
The theoretical 18th century folks postulated here could surely have contrived a way to harness at least some of that energy.
Good luck with your story.
 
  • #12
Using it as power source is easier, especially if you don't have an electricity grid so you cannot use more than a few megawatts anyway. The topic was about a nuclear weapon.
 
  • #13
Rubidium_71 said:
Hornbein is correct, fission can actually occur in nature, all by itself. There's a place in Africa called Oklo where natural, self-sustaining nuclear fission has occurred in the past. It was over a billion years ago, so unfortunately there were no humans present to take advantage of it, but the output was fairly respectable - around 100kW.
The theoretical 18th century folks postulated here could surely have contrived a way to harness at least some of that energy.
Good luck with your story.

Natural nuclear fission is one thing, but that is not an explosive nuclear bomb, which is something else.

I just don't that you are going to get that by simply banging two uranium rocks together.
 
  • #14
Apologies, I didn't read the OP carefully enough. I didn't mean to imply a fissionable weapon could be made by "banging rocks together." It just brought to mind the article I once read on ancient fission sources on Earth.
 
  • #15
Loren said:
No way.

Dropping two masses of uranium together would not cause fission, even if the uranium was enriched.
Surely it does. It was fission that slew Daghlian and Slotin.
However, little of that energy would be converted to mechanical.
I hear that the yield of Slotin explosion was estimated as 300 kJ - which is 70 microtons.
If Slotin had ran rather than tear apart the Core, what would the yield have been?
 
  • #16
I don't think you could accidentally create an atomic bomb, but a civilization using uranium or plutonium without understanding it's dangers is perfectly logical. Romans used lead for almost everything, and didn't learn until far into their empire that it was killing them. Oracles and Delphi breathed toxic hallucinogens and believed they were entering the realm of the gods. I'm sure metallurgy was a spiritual thing to neolithic humans. I don't see why anyone would though, these elements are rare for a reason: they decay and they're dense so when a planet is still liquid, they sink to the middle.
 
  • #17
newjerseyrunner said:
I don't see why anyone would though, these elements are rare for a reason: they decay and they're dense so when a planet is still liquid, they sink to the middle.
No, they don´t. They are lithophiles and therefore don´t sink. Actually, as incompatible elements (strong field cations) they concentrate to surface.
 
  • #18
I like the idea of a civilization stumbling through the dangers of using radioactive materials without understanding the danger, as others have said though, without expert understanding of how to utilize its potential, fission explosions are highly unlikely

What I am more concerned about however is the time scale, I think it is unnecessary to set it back 2-3 billions years. I understand you want to do this so there are greater abundances of Uranium but you would be ignoring so many fundamental facts to make the story happen that it quickly morphs into fantasy. 3 billion years ago life was just getting started and by just started I mean bacteria, that was it. Besides 3 billion years ago the Earth was a fundamentally different place and not at all friendly to complex life. For one thing at that time the atmosphere was still largely CO2, the air pressure was pretty harsh and the temperature was like a desert on steroids. Rather then ignoring all of these facts just to have a higher abundance, it would make more sense to simply have an 18th century time line that follows our own but simply have the geography of the area be rich in U-235 as you want. It is far less hand wavy to simply put the characters on top of a massive Uranium deposit then it is to mess with biological and planetary evolution.
 
  • #19
There is no natural process that would enrich uranium in any relevant way.
If the timescale looks too unrealistic (we don't know how fast intelligent life could develop), let some single-celled organisms from elsewhere get transported onto that planet.
But don't explain it, every explanation would just lead to more questions.
 
  • #20
DHF said:
What I am more concerned about however is the time scale, I think it is unnecessary to set it back 2-3 billions years. I understand you want to do this so there are greater abundances of Uranium but you would be ignoring so many fundamental facts to make the story happen that it quickly morphs into fantasy. 3 billion years ago life was just getting started and by just started I mean bacteria, that was it. Besides 3 billion years ago the Earth was a fundamentally different place and not at all friendly to complex life. For one thing at that time the atmosphere was still largely CO2, the air pressure was pretty harsh and the temperature was like a desert on steroids.

How complex was Ediacara biota compared to Franceville biota?
 
  • #21
I am not sure, paleontology is not really my thing. Though the Ediacaran period was right before the Cambrian which was only 500-600 Million years ago, I don't know much about the Franceville but I did read that it was suppose to be over 2 billion years old so I would imagine there is a pretty big gap there.
 
  • #22
DHF said:
I like the idea of a civilization stumbling through the dangers of using radioactive materials without understanding the danger,

Like ours. Just ask Madame Curie.

Even in my lifetime I remember a tourist attraction in Colorado. You could go down into a mine and inhale radon gas.

DHF said:
it would make more sense to simply have an 18th century time line that follows our own but simply have the geography of the area be rich in U-235 as you want. It is far less hand wavy to simply put the characters on top of a massive Uranium deposit then it is to mess with biological and planetary evolution.

Sure. It is credibly believed that uranium comes from colliding neutron stars, so just have had a number of those happen "nearby" billions of years ago. You will have many more of the metals heavier than iron. Gold and silver will be more common. There will be more radioactive decay so the planet needs less solar heat. Maybe it doesn't even have a Sun at all, if you want to get radical.
 
  • #23
Hornbein said:
There will be more radioactive decay so the planet needs less solar heat. Maybe it doesn't even have a Sun at all, if you want to get radical.

Well I don't know if I would go that far. No sun = no solar system. Besides if you added that much radioactive decay the planet would be un-inhabitable anyway. I am with mfb, less is more. describe your society an leave as much as you can to the imagination. the more you try to describe in detail, the more you will open yourself to questions.
 
  • #24
Products from neutron star collisions and other violent events are easy to absorb in a gas cloud, but hard with a fully formed planetary system (planets are tiny targets).
Heat alone is not sufficient for life, you need some source of low-entropy energy like visible light or some chemical imbalance.
Yes, there are single-celled organisms that harvest energy from radioactive decays, but those are unable to build nuclear weapons...
 
  • #25
mfb said:
Products from neutron star collisions and other violent events are easy to absorb in a gas cloud, but hard with a fully formed planetary system (planets are tiny targets).
Heat alone is not sufficient for life, you need some source of low-entropy energy like visible light or some chemical imbalance.
Yes, there are single-celled organisms that harvest energy from radioactive decays, but those are unable to build nuclear weapons...

Target? Planets form when material coalesces. If that material is heavy metals, then that's what you get.

Chemical imbalances are not hard to come by. There is even a recently discovered type of bacteria that lives on electrical potential.

But it doesn't matter. The OP wants an Earth-like planet occupied by people.
 
  • #26
Hornbein said:
Target? Planets form when material coalesces. If that material is heavy metals, then that's what you get.
Exactly, you get what you have at the time the planet forms - not what happens later. More uranium doesn't give a higher U235 fraction.
Chemical imbalances are not hard to come by. There is even a recently discovered type of bacteria that lives on electrical potential.
They are hard to get for billions of years without a star.
 
  • #27
mfb said:
Exactly, you get what you have at the time the planet forms - not what happens later. More uranium doesn't give a higher U235 fraction.
They are hard to get for billions of years without a star.

The Universe was in existence for eight billion years before the formation of the Sun.

As to whether neutron stars could produce a higher proportion of Uwhatever, I don't know, but it seems possible.
 
  • #28
Well it is a moot point really because if there is no star, then there is nothing for said planet to orbit around. At least I have never head of a model where planets form without either a star or brown dwarf present.
 
  • #30
mfb said:
Planets can be ejected during formation of a planetary system. There are probably more rogue planets than main-sequence stars in our galaxy (http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v473/n7347/full/nature10092.html).

I seem to recall that it is believed that roughly half the potentially planetary mass of the Solar System was ejected this way.

As well there are the so-called brown dwarfs. A ball of gas forms in space. If it isn't massive enough to initiate fusion, then it is a brown dwarf. A brown dwarf could have less mass than our planet Jupiter. As you can see, the distinction between a brown dwarf and a rogue planet that got ejected ten billion years ago is rather a fine one. A brown dwarf could have planets, but a planet may have moons so that isn't really a distinction either.

Brown dwarfs are so common it was seriously proposed that they were the bulk of the dark matter. Gravitational lensing observations proved that this was not the case, but I seem to recall that they do form a significant fraction (1%? 5%?).

Brown dwarfs are seldom heard of because they are so difficult to observe directly. I believe that this was first done circa 21st century in the Pleiades.
 
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  • #31
You could always have the superscientific Bad Guys incoming on a rogue planet with intent to replace the Earth or Jupiter or whatever. They could cleverly mold their trajectory to do so. It wouldn't even take that much energy, because if you calculate it all a million years in advance your steering has great leverage.

In "real life" the presence of a Sun would be extremely disruptive to an ecosystem unadapted to it, but your readers will never figure that out. They will believe that orbit around a Sun is highly coveted.

Hmm, you could have two rogue planets. One harbors the aliens, the other is just a station to transmit power to the place. The station gets a close orbit around our Sun, while the inhabited planet hangs out near Pluto. Hey, I'm starting to like it...

If you want to break away from the dominant Good Guys/Bad Guys Shooting It Out paradigm, you could have the story about getting used to the idea of sharing the Solar System with a far superior civilization.
 
  • #32
I had a thought pop into my head this morning and remembered this thread. You don't have to make it so that your species has no knowledge, just no living members of your species. In the 600s, Europeans had technology that none of them understood and couldn't replicate: no one understood how a water wheel worked, they just knew because the Romans figured it out. The collapse of a highly organized civilization to an agrarian one would suffice. Imagine with our own species, an economic problem on a global scale, all powerful nations' infrastructures are collapsing, as that happens, they're become more volatile and eventually end up fighting. A brutal war would destroy almost all of the infrastructure, and the last desperate attack of a dying superpower unleashes a biological weapon that decimates the population of the entire planet. With the combined knowledge of the awakening of that civilization having been stored digitally, all advanced knowledge is lost in an instant. Only scattered bits and pieces remain: a modern burning of Alexandria. With no winner and a devastated planet, most of us would hunt or farm, yet generations later we'd have solar panels to run our equipment, but not a sole would understand even on a rudimentary level how it works.
 
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Related to Advanced devices made with no knowledge

1. What are "advanced devices made with no knowledge"?

"Advanced devices made with no knowledge" refers to technology or devices that are created without prior understanding or knowledge of how they work. This can include artificial intelligence, machine learning, and other complex systems that are able to function and evolve without human intervention.

2. How are these devices created without any knowledge?

These devices are typically created using algorithms and programming languages that allow them to learn and adapt on their own. They are often designed to mimic the human brain and its ability to learn and make decisions based on new information.

3. What are the potential benefits of these devices?

Some potential benefits of "advanced devices made with no knowledge" include increased efficiency and accuracy in tasks, the ability to handle complex and large amounts of data, and the potential for new discoveries and advancements in various fields such as medicine and technology.

4. Are there any potential risks or drawbacks to these devices?

There are potential risks and drawbacks to these devices, such as the potential for them to make decisions that are harmful or unethical, as well as the potential for them to replace human jobs and create economic and social issues. There are also concerns about the lack of control and understanding over these devices, which could lead to unintended consequences.

5. How can we ensure the responsible use of these devices?

To ensure responsible use of "advanced devices made with no knowledge", it is important for researchers and developers to prioritize ethical considerations and implement safeguards and regulations to prevent potential harm. It is also important for society to engage in discussions and debates about the implications of these devices and to hold those responsible for their creation accountable for their actions.

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