Statistical Comparision between Conditional Probability

Another method could be to use a statistical test, such as a chi-squared test, to determine if there is a significant difference between the probabilities. In summary, there are multiple methods that can be used to compare the probabilities P(Z1|X1Y1) and P(Z2|X2Y2) in order to determine how close they are.
  • #1
johngoogle
1
0
Suppose

X1 Y1 Z1
0 0 0 (5 times Z1 is 0 for X1=0 and Y1=0)
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 0
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
0 1 1
.
.
.

Which is..
(Same table which is above..)

X1 Y1 Z1 (Count of Zeros) (Count of Ones)
0 0 5 2
0 1 7 8
1 0 0 10
1 1 5 1



X2 Y2 Z2(Count of Zeros) (Count of Ones)
0 0 10 4
0 1 14 16
1 0 0 20
1 1 10 2

Finding P(Z1|X1Y1) AND P(Z2|X2Y2)
HERE it is the same..

example
X1 Y1 Z1 (Probability of Zeros)
0 0 5|7


X2 Y2 Z2 (Probability of Zeros)
0 0 10|14

But what if this is not the case and we have

X2 Y2 Z2(Count of Zeros) (Count of Ones)
0 0 7 5
0 1 12 2
1 0 2 0
1 1 1 5

Than how to know how close is P(Z1|X1Y1) AND P(Z2|X2Y2) using some method..
 
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  • #2
?In this situation, one way to compare the probabilities is to calculate the likelihood ratio for each value of X2, Y2 and Z2. The likelihood ratio is defined as the ratio of P(Z2|X2Y2) to P(Z1|X1Y1). For example, for the first row (X2 = 0, Y2 = 0), the likelihood ratio would be: P(Z2 = 0 | X2 = 0, Y2 = 0) / P(Z1 = 0 | X1 = 0, Y1 = 0) = 7/5. This ratio can then be compared to other values of X2, Y2 and Z2 to determine how close the probabilities are.
 

Related to Statistical Comparision between Conditional Probability

1. What is conditional probability?

Conditional probability is the likelihood of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. It is calculated by dividing the probability of both events occurring by the probability of the first event occurring.

2. How is conditional probability different from regular probability?

Regular probability is the likelihood of an event occurring without any prior information. On the other hand, conditional probability takes into account prior information or an already observed event.

3. Why is statistical comparison important in conditional probability?

Statistical comparison allows us to determine if there is a significant difference between the conditional probabilities of two events. This can help us make informed decisions and understand the relationship between events.

4. What factors should be considered when conducting a statistical comparison between conditional probabilities?

Some important factors to consider include the sample size, the type of data (categorical or continuous), the distribution of the data, and the level of significance chosen for the comparison.

5. Can statistical comparison between conditional probabilities be used to determine causation?

No, statistical comparison between conditional probabilities only allows us to determine the relationship or association between events. It does not prove causation, as there could be other factors at play that are influencing the observed relationship.

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