Indirect effect and spuriousity

In summary, the addition of a new variable (Z) that is correlated with an existing variable (X) in a regression model may cause the coefficient of X to decrease if Z has a positive correlation with X and a coefficient of the same sign, or if Z has a negative correlation with X and a coefficient of the opposite sign. This can be an indication of either an indirect effect or a spurious relationship. However, the presence of such a situation does not necessarily mean that one of the variable effects is indirect or spurious. Other combinations may also cause the coefficient of X to increase in magnitude.
  • #1
monsmatglad
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Say one has a regression result (ols) with significant coefficients for all independent variables. Then a new variable (Z) is added. This new variable is either something that reveals a spurious relationship among one of the initially included variables (x) and the dependent variable (y), or represents an effect that is "between" the independent variable (z) and the dependent (z) - an indirect effect. Will both these situations cause the size (and significance) of the independent variable (x) to decline? I have a statistics course, and from what I remember, my lecturer told me that adding an additional independent variable which results in one of the original variables to have a smaller coefficient, is a sign of either an indirect effect or a spurious relation. Is this correct?

Mons
 
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  • #2
I wouldn't say that any situation forces one to conclude that one of the variable effects is indirect or spurious. Both X and Z variables may have a component showing an effect on Y that is not reflected in the other variable at all.

If the new variable, Z, is correlated with a variable, X, already in the model, then if it is added, the coefficient of X will change.
If the correlation between Z and X is positive, and Z is added with a coefficient of the same sign as the X coefficient, then the magnitude of the coefficient of X will decrease. Likewise if the ZX correlation is negative and have the same sign of coefficient. The statistical significance of X may be decreased to the point where it should be removed from the model.
Other combinations would make the coefficient of X increase in magnitude.
 

Related to Indirect effect and spuriousity

1. What is the difference between indirect effect and spuriousity?

Indirect effect refers to the influence that an independent variable has on a dependent variable through a mediating variable. Spuriousity, on the other hand, refers to a relationship between two variables that appears to exist, but is actually caused by a third variable.

2. How can we determine if a relationship is spurious or has an indirect effect?

In order to determine if a relationship is spurious or has an indirect effect, we need to control for the third variable. This can be done through statistical methods such as regression analysis or by conducting experiments.

3. What are some common examples of indirect effects?

One common example of indirect effect is the relationship between education and income. Education can indirectly affect income through factors such as job skills and opportunities. Another example is the relationship between exercise and weight loss, where exercise indirectly affects weight loss through factors such as increased metabolism and improved overall health.

4. Can indirect effects be positive or negative?

Yes, indirect effects can be either positive or negative. For example, in the education and income example, a higher level of education may have a positive indirect effect on income. However, in the exercise and weight loss example, a higher level of exercise may have a negative indirect effect on weight loss if it leads to muscle gain instead of fat loss.

5. How can we minimize the impact of spuriousity in research studies?

To minimize the impact of spuriousity in research studies, it is important to control for all possible third variables and to use proper research design and statistical analysis techniques. Additionally, conducting multiple studies and replicating results can help to confirm the validity of a relationship and reduce the potential for spuriousity.

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