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lunds002
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A new blood test has been shown to be effective in the early detection of a disease. The probability that the blood test correctly identifies someone with this disease is 0.99, and the probability that the blood test correctly identifies someone without that disease is 0.95. The incidence of this disease in the general population is 0.0001.
A doctor administered the blood test to a patient and the test result indicated that this patient had the disease. What is the probablity that the patient has the disease?
A doctor administered the blood test to a patient and the test result indicated that this patient had the disease. What is the probablity that the patient has the disease?