Bayes Theorem Redux: Self-Correcting Probability of Correctness

In summary, the conversation discusses a new self-referential theorem that adjusts its own probability of correctness. It also introduces a term to represent the likelihood of correctly applying the Modified Bayes Theorem. The conversation also mentions the similarity to Benoit B Mandelbrot's name and the concept of fractals.
  • #1
jim mcnamara
Mentor
4,770
3,816
https://xkcd.com/2059

A new interesting self-referential theorem that "self-corrects" for the theorem's own probability of correctness. ?? Hold your pointer still in the middle if the cartoon for a few seconds to get P(C).
 
  • Like
Likes Stephen Tashi, StatGuy2000, FactChecker and 2 others
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
And also a term to reflect the probability that I am using the Modified Bayes Theorem correctly. :biggrin:
Yay, a fractal theorem!
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
 
  • Like
Likes StatGuy2000, Drakkith and BillTre
  • #3
andrewkirk said:
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
...but in a font 4.669 times smaller.
 

Related to Bayes Theorem Redux: Self-Correcting Probability of Correctness

1. What is Bayes Theorem Redux?

Bayes Theorem Redux is an updated version of the original Bayes Theorem, which is a mathematical formula used to calculate the probability of an event occurring based on prior knowledge of related events.

2. How is Bayes Theorem Redux different from the original Bayes Theorem?

Bayes Theorem Redux takes into account the concept of self-correction, which means that the probability of an event can change as new information is added. This is not accounted for in the original Bayes Theorem.

3. How does Bayes Theorem Redux account for self-correction?

Bayes Theorem Redux uses a feedback loop to constantly update the probability of an event based on new information. This allows for a more accurate and dynamic calculation of probability.

4. What are the applications of Bayes Theorem Redux?

Bayes Theorem Redux has many applications, including in fields such as statistics, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. It is commonly used for prediction and decision-making based on available data.

5. Is Bayes Theorem Redux widely accepted in the scientific community?

Yes, Bayes Theorem Redux has gained widespread acceptance and is considered to be a valuable tool in various fields of science. It has been used in many real-world applications and has been proven to be effective in improving the accuracy of predictions.

Similar threads

  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
Replies
9
Views
459
  • Quantum Interpretations and Foundations
10
Replies
333
Views
11K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
10
Views
1K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
2
Replies
47
Views
3K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
8
Views
6K
  • Precalculus Mathematics Homework Help
Replies
11
Views
2K
Replies
80
Views
4K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
868
  • Set Theory, Logic, Probability, Statistics
Replies
6
Views
1K
Back
Top