What is Hypothesis testing: Definition and 86 Discussions

A statistical hypothesis is a hypothesis that is testable on the basis of observed data modelled as the realised values taken by a collection of random variables. A set of data is modelled as being realised values of a collection of random variables having a joint probability distribution in some set of possible joint distributions. The hypothesis being tested is exactly that set of possible probability distributions. A statistical hypothesis test is a method of statistical inference. An alternative hypothesis is proposed for the probability distribution of the data, either explicitly or only informally. The comparison of the two models is deemed statistically significant if, according to a threshold probability—the significance level—the data would be unlikely to occur if the null hypothesis were true. A hypothesis test specifies which outcomes of a study may lead to a rejection of the null hypothesis at a pre-specified level of significance, while using a pre-chosen measure of deviation from that hypothesis (the test statistic, or goodness-of-fit measure). The pre-chosen level of significance is the maximal allowed "false positive rate". One wants to control the risk of incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis.
The process of distinguishing between the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis is aided by considering two conceptual types of errors. The first type of error occurs when the null hypothesis is wrongly rejected. The second type of error occurs when the null hypothesis is wrongly not rejected. (The two types are known as type 1 and type 2 errors.)
Hypothesis tests based on statistical significance are another way of expressing confidence intervals (more precisely, confidence sets). In other words, every hypothesis test based on significance can be obtained via a confidence interval, and every confidence interval can be obtained via a hypothesis test based on significance.Significance-based hypothesis testing is the most common framework for statistical hypothesis testing. An alternative framework for statistical hypothesis testing is to specify a set of statistical models, one for each candidate hypothesis, and then use model selection techniques to choose the most appropriate model. The most common selection techniques are based on either Akaike information criterion (=AIC) or Bayesian information criterion (=BIC).

View More On Wikipedia.org
  1. F

    Hypothesis testing for ratio estimation

    Homework Statement Hi, this is a stats question, hope I'm asking it in the right place. I am estimating an animal populations health based on it's weight to length ratio, I have a population ratio (10grams/cm) from 5 years ago and a sample estimate made from recently gathered data. I am...
  2. X

    Hypothesis Testing: Using Equations for μ<μ0

    I have a question about the equations used for hypothesis testing. They all look like this one here: H0: μ = μ0 H1: μ > μ0 For various situations.. sigma know, sigma unknown etc. So H0 is the first claim and H1 is the second claim. But this means the second claim is > than the first...
  3. N

    Statistics - Hypothesis testing question

    Hello folks. This was in my exam and I wasn't sure how to solve it. Homework Statement A sample of 67 respondents was taken collectively by a population of 6,456 units. The number of those who said they were available to implement a development program were 35. To implement the program...
  4. D

    Hypothesis testing, why alpha cannot be zero

    Ok someone tell me the official explanation of why alpha cannot be zero in hypothesis testing.
  5. Y

    Hypothesis testing for multivariate processes(ljung box white noise test)

    hi guys, I'm trying to understand how the critical value of Q-statistics is calculated in multivariate ljung-box test. or even more simply, in the univariate ljung-box test. initially i used MATLAB for hypothesis testing, MATLAB as an output furnishes the critical values, but the modules in...
  6. L

    Hypothesis Testing for Normal Mean μ w/σ=1

    Suppose X is normal mean \mu unknown and standard deviation σ = 1. (a) You are to show that the uniformly most powerful test for testing test of size α based on a sample of size n for testing H0 :\mu  ≤ \mu0 verses H1\mu :  ≥ \mu0 is of the form R = {\Sigmaxj ≥ c} where c = z\sqrt{n} +...
  7. T

    The Impact of Information Cards on Water Requests

    Homework Statement During a water shortage in Florida, restaurants were asked not to serve water with meals unless requested to do so by customers. In the initial 3-month period, 45% of the customers served at a particular restaurant requested water with their meal. Recently, the restaurant...
  8. B

    Hypothesis Testing for Error Rate at Amazoogle.com

    I am not sure whether this falls in this section or the other. But as the calculation of likelihood usually involves calculus, posting it here. Homework Statement The Big Boss at Amazoogle.com says that based on long experience, the best model for errors in software is that experienced...
  9. B

    Multivariate hypothesis testing

    How is hypothesis testing performed for multivariate data? Say for simplicity we have two iid draws from a binomial distribution Bin(10,q) with X1=7, X2=8. Under the null hypothesis H0:q=1/2, the individual p-values (as one-tail probabilities) are approximately 0.172 and 0.055 respectively...
  10. C

    Hypothesis testing, confidance leves, photon statistics

    Homework Statement A source is supposed to emit photons with spin +/-1 independently at equal rate. a) after measuring 4 photons, all have spin +1; b) after measuring 100 photons, 60 have spin +1. at which confidence level can the hypothesis be rejected. Calculate for each of the...
  11. D

    Normal Distribution: Hypothesis Testing

    Homework Statement A cola company's long-term market share is estimated to be 45%. After an extensive advertising campaign, 68 out of 150 customers surveyed claimed to have purchased this company's cola recently. Was the advertising campaign a success? justify your assessment Homework...
  12. C

    Hypothesis Testing: Binomial Distribution

    Homework Statement Let X have a binomial distribution with the number of trails n = 10 and with p either 0.25 or 0.5. The simple null hypothesis p = 0.5 is rejected and the alternate hypothesis p = 0.25 is accepted if the observed value of X1, a random sample of size 1, is less than or equal...
  13. C

    Hypothesis Testing: Sig. Level & Power of Test

    Homework Statement Let X have a binomial distribution with the number of trails n = 10 and with p either 0.25 or 0.5. The simple null hypothesis p = 0.5 is rejected and the alternate hypothesis p = 0.25 is accepted if the observed value of X1, a random sample of size 1, is less than or equal...
  14. Q

    Hypothesis Testing: Binomial Experiment

    Homework Statement A drug company markets a medication that cures about 60% of cases with depression. A CB program is thought to be more effective. It was delivered to 15 depressed people. Determine the minimum number of cured people required to support the claim that the CB program is more...
  15. Q

    Hypothesis Testing - Basic Theory Question

    Homework Statement Karen asks John to guess the date of her birth, not including the year (i.e. the day and month she was born; discount leap years). If John guessed correctly on his first try, would you believe his claim that he made a lucky guess or would you be suspicious that he already...
  16. W

    Regression strategy for hypothesis testing vs prediction

    Hi, I'm interested in this question primarily in how it relates to what is usually called classic or frequentist statistics (p-values, etc). I'm fully aware of how stepwise and other automated techniques can negatively impact analyses and render inference based upon parameter estimates...
  17. N

    Hypothesis Testing: Comparing Car Repair Costs with New vs Old Bumper Bars

    Homework Statement A hire-car firm is considering a special bumper bar designed to lower the cost of car repairs following minor accidents. This bumper bar is more expensive than the conventional one. It will only be introduced permanently if any reduction in the cost of repairs is judged to...
  18. W

    Hypothesis Testing in Statistics

    Homework Statement A random sample of 30 rats has 18 females and 12 males. If last year's proportion of females treated was 0.65, do the above data confirm that this year the proportion of females is different than last year? Homework Equations p = treated / total If using standard...
  19. W

    Sensitivity analysis, missing data, and hypothesis testing

    Hi, I have a large data set with with less than 10% missing values (missing response, but all predictor variables present). It is a near certainty that these values are not missing at random, dependent upon the missing value. The response is survival time of a land parcel with 'death' being...
  20. S

    Calculating Probability of Cars' Expected Speed with Hypothesis Testing

    If \sigma = 10 km/h and \mu = 74 km/t, find the probability that we when measuring the speed of 12 random cars can conclude that the expected speed of the cars is less than 77 km/h. Use \alpha=0.05 level of significance. z = \frac{\bar{x}-\mu_0}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}} =...
  21. K

    Hypothesis testing for pairs of means

    Homework Statement 1a) The strength of concrete depends to some extent on the method used for drying it. Two different drying methods were tested independently on specimens. The strength using each of the methods follow a normal distribution with mean μ_x and μ_y respectively and the same...
  22. K

    Hypothesis Testing: Power Function

    Homework Statement http://www.geocities.com/asdfasdf23135/stat14.JPG Homework Equations Statistics: power function The Attempt at a Solution a) Test statistic: Z = (X bar - 13) / (4/sqrt n) Let μ = μ_a > 13 be a particular value in H_a Power(μ_a) = 1- beta(μ_a) = P(reject Ho |...
  23. E

    Hypothesis Testing: Distinguishing Zero vs Practical Equivalence

    What is the difference between NOT being able to reject the hypothesis that a particular parameter is zero and being able to conclude that it is within some acceptable distance from zero ("practical equivalence")? I guess this is more of a logic question, but I'm still having trouble...
  24. M

    Hypothesis Testing Homework: Does Your Relationship Support Claim?

    Homework Statement I have used OLS and found that: b0 = 6,85 b1 = 3,88 with se= 0,1121 n = 20 Person x claims that b1 = 5 Choose an alternative hypothesis. Does your estimated relationship support this claim? Use a 5 % significance level The Attempt at a Solution H0 = b1 =...
  25. C

    Standard deviation and hypothesis testing

    Hi guys. Im new at this site so please be nice to me =P. I've been working on some practice papers for my upcoming end of semester exams. Cant get these two questions out ><. Any help is greatly appreciated Thanks in advance jenny xoxo 1. A sample of 28 students measured their...
  26. D

    What is the Probability of Rejecting the Mean of 130 at the 1% Level?

    Homework Statement Having trouble understanding the question, which is... voltage specified to be 130 Sample of 20 readings gives sample mean of 128.25 Also given s.d.=3. "It is important that the voltage not be allowed to drop below 128 volts. What is the probability of rejecting mean...
  27. P

    Stats unknown variance hypothesis testing

    Homework Statement A machine produces metal rods used in an automobile suspension system. A random sample of 12 rods is selected and the diameter is measred.The sample mean is 8.28. and the significance level is 0.05. Is there strong evidence to indicate that mean rod diameter is not 8.20 mm...
  28. P

    Hypothesis testing with nominal data.

    Homework Statement I have two variables (both nominal) union membership 1/0 and race 1/0 and I have to find if there is a relationship between them. The task is formulated like so: "Is there a relationship between union membership and race (black versus non-black)?" I know I have to state...
  29. C

    Hypothesis Testing: How to Recognize Ho & Ha

    I really don't understand hypothesis testing. How do I recognize which one is Ho and Ha in a problem? Is there a particular trick to facilitate my lfie?
  30. T

    Is a Two-Sided t-Test Appropriate for Comparing Doctor Care Hours?

    Need to know the test that will be performed on the following question: The data comprises hours devoted to patient care per week for practitioners in conventional and alternative medical practices. Question: Can we infer that the mean amount of time devoted to patient care per week by...
  31. A

    How to determine the width of the zone of acceptance in hypothesis testing?

    First and foremost, I am terrible in Stats so bear w/ me on this one. This is my question, if anyone has an idea on how to figure out this problem that would be great! Here it is: Suppose you flip a coin 100 times and you want to test the hypothesis that the coin is fair, making sure there is...
  32. T

    Probability and Hypothesis Testing Problem

    I need some help with a problem. Let me first post the results. 289 (10 lottery ball random draws) = 4.66 ave...5.50 mean 67 (9 lottery ball random draws) = 3.30 ave...5.00 mean 49 (8 lottery ball random draws) = 4.08 ave ...4.50 mean 37 (7 lottery ball random draws) = 3.00 ave...4.00 mean...
  33. A

    Hypothesis testing and the power of the test

    I am having trouble understanding the concept of the power of the test. Here is a sample question with solution: A company wants to test if average weekly demand is more than 2000 lbs. Test is to be carried out at 5% level of significance, and an estimate of the population variance is...
  34. C

    Hypothesis testing with normal distribution

    Hypothesis testing with normal distribution... I've been learning about Hypothesis testing with normal distribution, but I don't understand the need for the significance level. By this I mean that i understand that according to the Central Limit Theorem a distribution of the means will be a...
  35. S

    Question about hypothesis testing

    i'm getting my concepts very confused now... so the formula for the normal distri is (y - u)/(sigma)/((sqroot(n)). so if I want to test y, I set that formula = to alpha(where alpha is the confidence level). that is if it is one sided. if it is 2 sided, do I still set it to alpha, or...
  36. N

    Hypothesis Testing for NCAA Champion Probability in Big East Conference

    Using a .05 level of sign, test the hyp that the probability of the NCAA champion being from the big east is 20% The actual ratio is 3/63 Where should I start? thanks nautica
Back
Top