Latest poll: McCain is 4 points ahead

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In summary, according to the latest poll, John McCain is currently leading the presidential race by 4 points. This indicates a strong position for the Republican candidate and suggests that he may have an edge over his opponent in the upcoming election. It remains to be seen how this lead will change as the election draws nearer and campaigns continue, but for now, McCain appears to have a slight advantage in the race for the presidency.
  • #1
Count Iblis
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http://washingtonindependent.com/14988/poll-mccain-slipping-in-arizona :biggrin:
 
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  • #2
He'll always have Alaska...
 
  • #4
He and Palin will always have Paris (Texas).
 
  • #5
Alaska is solidly pro-McCain, but let's get real - even my little dipwad state has more electoral votes than Alaska, and McCain is spending a fortune here to try to pry away ONE apportioned electoral vote in the 2nd district. His narrow path to victory is dependent on voter-suppression in Democratic districts, surprise voter disenfranchisement, and inciting enough doubt at the polls so that many voters will be forced to cast provisional ballots (which are traditionally WAY under-counted). McCain cannot manage a real majority at this point, so the only path to GOP victory lies in the subversion of the election. The US needs real election reform and standardized procedures with enforcement teeth. Anything less is unacceptable.
 
  • #6
Count Iblis said:
http://washingtonindependent.com/14988/poll-mccain-slipping-in-arizona :biggrin:

An update at the bottom of the link:

UPDATE: A Rasmussen poll released today has McCain leading in Arizona by 5 percentage points, down from 11 points in late September. The new survey found Obama leads by 13 points among independents. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Up by 5, +/- 4.5...now that's a slim margin. Wouldn't that be something if McCain lost his home state...the last time a Presidential candidate lost his own state was...oh, right, it was Gore :rolleyes: .
 
  • #7
i think he's ahead in polls here in georgia, but i'll tell you, his reprehensible campaign has really p.o.'ed many people here, and there are a LOT of new voters that are standing in long lines to say so. he might even lose georgia.
 
  • #8
It's not about Arizona's EV. But rather the publicity and news coverage is going to further demoralize the McCain campaign. The media is going to bring up the Arizona-is-in-play theme everyday until a McCain-safe poll shows up.

The last poll that shows M+4 was released a week ago. I think the media held a curious but cautious attitude toward it. Now that Rasmussen and Zimmerman both release polls that collaborate with this storyline, the media is going to push coverage on Arizona in the upcoming days.
 
  • #9
phoenixy said:
It's not about Arizona's EV. But rather the publicity and news coverage is going to further demoralize the McCain campaign. The media is going to bring up the Arizona-is-in-play theme everyday until a McCain-safe poll shows up.

The last poll that shows M+4 was released a week ago. I think the media held a curious but cautious attitude toward it. Now that Rasmussen and Zimmerman both release polls that collaborate with this storyline, the media is going to push coverage on Arizona in the upcoming days.

As of today they are reporting that Montana is within 4 points too.

Republicans are placing ads there in defense of their shrinking numbers.
 

Related to Latest poll: McCain is 4 points ahead

1. What is the source of the latest poll?

The latest poll showing McCain 4 points ahead is from a reputable polling organization such as Gallup or Pew Research.

2. When was the poll conducted?

The poll was most likely conducted within the past week, as polls are typically taken periodically and released to the public as soon as possible.

3. How many people were surveyed?

The sample size of the poll varies, but it is typically a few thousand individuals who are representative of the larger population.

4. What is the margin of error for the poll?

The margin of error for the poll is typically around 3-4%, meaning that the results could vary by a few points in either direction.

5. How does this poll compare to previous polls?

This poll may show a change in the candidate's popularity compared to previous polls, but it is important to consider the overall trend of multiple polls rather than just one snapshot in time.

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